Matej Grundel vs Libor Prikasky 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13031406

Played Aug 27Finished

Matej Grundel

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1181121012911119

Libor Prikasky

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMatej Grundel above · Libor Prikasky below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-2

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 94 set 5, 11-9

94 points played in total.

H2H Matej Grundel 8–7 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 7 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prikasky)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Prikasky form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGrundel 1.83 / Prikasky 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Prikasky)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13031406

Grundel1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Prikasky1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeGrundel6wins

AwayPrikasky4wins

6 of 10 to a deciderGrundel leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeGrundel50%2 of 4

AwayPrikasky33.3%2 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Grundel4Prikasky6n = 10Prikasky took 6 of 10

S2Grundel6Prikasky4n = 10Grundel took 6 of 10

S3Grundel6Prikasky4n = 10Grundel took 6 of 10

S4Grundel6Prikasky3n = 9Grundel took 6 of 9

S5Grundel3Prikasky3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricGrundelPrikaskyG − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.042.1+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGrundelPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 303 vs 243 / 43252.5%56.3%159 / 303 vs 243 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Prikasky

Grundel 1.83/Prikasky 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Prikasky · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Grundel won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 27 · 16:00M. Grundel—61111882L. Prikasky—119811113

WAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel—1011812113L. Prikasky—127111072

LAug 26 · 15:00M. Grundel—117811102L. Prikasky—811114123

WAug 13 · 16:30M. Grundel—51111113L. Prikasky—115941

LAug 5 · 14:00M. Grundel—11811582L. Prikasky—511711113

LJul 20 · 16:00M. Grundel—2211841L. Prikasky—24611113

WJul 8 · 15:30M. Grundel—118412153L. Prikasky—9111110132

WJun 21 · 07:30M. Grundel—81111113L. Prikasky—117891

WJun 18 · 15:30M. Grundel—951111113L. Prikasky—11119582

WMay 27 · 17:10M. Grundel—1111113L. Prikasky—8920

M. Grundel10

LSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191 LSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113 WSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113 WSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160 LAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882 WAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113 WAug 27 · 14:30M. Grundel2.001111113L. Velebil1.737750 WAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel1.771011812113L. Prikasky1.95127111072 WAug 26 · 16:59M. Grundel1.911011812113P. Libor1.80127111072 WAug 26 · 16:30M. Grundel1.80113111113M. Navedla1.9161161192

L. Prikasky10

LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171 WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113 LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113 LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192 WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123 WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113 LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113 WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133 WAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882 LAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel1.771011812113L. Prikasky1.95127111072

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