TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076779
Played Sep 5Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113811––––
Michal Vavrecka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Vavrecka to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Michal Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 63 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Michal Vavrecka at 60.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 4–8 Michal Vavrecka Libor Prikasky has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1745 vs Vavrecka 1830
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 60% vs Vavrecka 40%
Prikasky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 50% vs Vavrecka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky -1 · Vavrecka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 1.83 / Vavrecka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vavrecka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076779
Prikasky1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Vavrecka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrikasky4wins
AwayVavrecka6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikasky66.7%2 of 3
AwayVavrecka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky3Vavrecka7n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S2Prikasky4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Prikasky4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S4Prikasky4Vavrecka4n = 8split evenly
S5Prikasky3Vavrecka2n = 5Prikasky took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrikaskyVavreckaP − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.644.9−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 445 vs 1011 / 200956%50.3%249 / 445 vs 1011 / 2009Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaPrikasky 1.83/Vavrecka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky—91180M. Vavrecka—1113113
LAug 26 · 12:00L. Prikasky—911671M. Vavrecka—11811113
WAug 9 · 10:30L. Prikasky—1111119143M. Vavrecka—136811122
WAug 3 · 20:59L. Prikasky—119118113M. Vavrecka—71161172
WAug 3 · 19:00L. Prikasky—881119143M. Vavrecka—1111917122
LJun 7 · 17:29L. Prikasky—124151162M. Vavrecka—1011179113
LJun 7 · 16:30L. Prikasky—811561M. Vavrecka—11711113
WJun 1 · 06:30L. Prikasky—11156113M. Vavrecka—7131181
LMay 31 · 20:30L. Prikasky—5590M. Vavrecka—1111113
LMay 31 · 16:59L. Prikasky—95111132M. Vavrecka—111199113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050WSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142LSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WAug 31 · 09:00M. Vavrecka1.8317911113T. Dousek1.831511741LAug 31 · 08:30M. Vavrecka2.001251181R. Polasek1.7314117113LAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka2.106111051M. Cabis1.6711912113
Upcoming Matches
L. Prikasky
Nothing scheduled
M. Vavrecka
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