TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076778
Played Sep 5Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191113115811119
Libor Prikasky
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeMatyas Navedla to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Matyas Navedla at 59.2%
99 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 20–10 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Prikasky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-10 in 30
Navedla
Correct
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Navedla 1723 vs Prikasky 1745
Prikasky
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Navedla 0% vs Prikasky 80%
Prikasky
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Navedla 0% vs Prikasky 60%
Prikasky
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Navedla -5 · Prikasky +2
Navedla
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prikasky) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.91 / Prikasky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prikasky)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076778
Navedla1.91
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 139 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back25% 42 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 78
Prikasky1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 90 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it84% 64 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla5wins
AwayPrikasky5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla55.6%5 of 9
AwayPrikaskyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla9Prikasky1n = 10Navedla took 9 of 10
S2Navedla3Prikasky7n = 10Prikasky took 7 of 10
S3Navedla7Prikasky3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S4Navedla3Prikasky3n = 6split evenly
S5Navedla1Prikasky4n = 5Prikasky took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyN − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.036.7+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 747 vs 249 / 44547.7%56%356 / 747 vs 249 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyNavedla 1.91/Prikasky 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla—11813113L. Prikasky—6111171
WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla—1111118113L. Prikasky—91351192
LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla—116124112L. Prikasky—1111011133
LSep 4 · 13:00M. Navedla—11751252L. Prikasky—9111110113
LSep 4 · 11:00M. Navedla—11761162L. Prikasky—511117113
WAug 26 · 14:30M. Navedla—1111113L. Prikasky—8690
LAug 26 · 12:58M. Navedla—6860L. Prikasky—1111113
WAug 26 · 11:30M. Navedla—1112113L. Prikasky—31060
LAug 10 · 07:00M. Navedla—11511842L. Prikasky—211811113
WJul 8 · 17:00M. Navedla—1111123L. Prikasky—86100
M. Navedla10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142LSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692LSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120LSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133LSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111LSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
Upcoming Matches
M. Navedla
L. Prikasky
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