TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076900
Played Sep 5Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811117116119
Matyas Navedla
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 54.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 22–12 Matyas Navedla Matyas Navedla has won 12 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wawrosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-12 in 34
Wawrosz
Correct
gap of 10 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1824 vs Navedla 1723
Wawrosz
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 80% vs Navedla 20%
Wawrosz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 60% vs Navedla 10%
Wawrosz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz +3 · Navedla +1
Wawrosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wawrosz) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.73 / Navedla 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Wawrosz)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076900
Wawrosz1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it73% 100 of 138
Navedla2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 139 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back25% 42 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz6wins
AwayNavedla4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz75%3 of 4
AwayNavedla50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S2Wawrosz4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S3Wawrosz6Navedla4n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz5Navedla4n = 9Wawrosz took 5 of 9
S5Wawrosz3Navedla1n = 4Wawrosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszNavedlaW − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.340.9+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 401 vs 356 / 74750.9%47.7%204 / 401 vs 356 / 747Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszWawrosz 1.73/Navedla 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—881111113M. Navedla—11117692
WSep 4 · 10:30P. Wawrosz—111164113M. Navedla—97111142
WAug 26 · 17:30P. Wawrosz—881111113M. Navedla—11112392
LAug 26 · 15:30P. Wawrosz—7850M. Navedla—1111113
LAug 24 · 08:30P. Wawrosz—1211111692M. Navedla—147818113
WAug 23 · 16:58P. Wawrosz—111011113M. Navedla—512981
LAug 23 · 15:30P. Wawrosz—1578171M. Navedla—131111193
WAug 12 · 16:59P. Wawrosz—111011113M. Navedla—812781
LAug 12 · 16:30P. Wawrosz—911481M. Navedla—11911113
WAug 11 · 13:30P. Wawrosz—41111123M. Navedla—1146101
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113LSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113
M. Navedla10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192LSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120LSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133LSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111LSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
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