TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071403
Played Sep 4Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111181161311––
Matyas Navedla
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMatyas Navedla to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 79 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Matyas Navedla at 55.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 14–16 Matyas Navedla Radomir Revay has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Navedla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Navedla
Wrong
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Revay 1794 vs Navedla 1744
Revay
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 40% vs Navedla 20%
Revay
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 40% vs Navedla 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay +2 · Navedla -4
Navedla
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Navedla) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 1.91 / Navedla 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Navedla)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071403
Revay1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 125 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back31% 46 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back14% 10 of 73
Navedla1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 59 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it76% 42 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay3wins
AwayNavedla7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevay0%0 of 4
AwayNavedla50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S2Revay2Navedla8n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10
S3Revay4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S4Revay4Navedla3n = 7Revay took 4 of 7
S5Revay1Navedla2n = 3Navedla took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayNavedlaR − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.538.3−2.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 561 vs 356 / 74151.7%48%290 / 561 vs 356 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavedlaRevay 1.91/Navedla 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Navedla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 12:30R. Revay—4101111113M. Navedla—11122492
LAug 11 · 10:30R. Revay—8670M. Navedla—1111113
LAug 11 · 08:30R. Revay—97110M. Navedla—1111133
LAug 5 · 06:00R. Revay—11841152M. Navedla—811115113
LJul 23 · 09:00R. Revay—9780M. Navedla—1111113
LJul 23 · 07:30R. Revay—1196121M. Navedla—41111143
LJul 6 · 08:58R. Revay—116111152M. Navedla—911613113
WJul 6 · 06:30R. Revay—101111113M. Navedla—125681
LJun 20 · 08:30R. Revay—119771M. Navedla—91111113
WJun 15 · 10:30R. Revay—41112113M. Navedla—1151091
R. Revay10
LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120LSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590LSep 3 · 07:30R. Revay1.91126111172T. Zika1.80141156113LSep 3 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311127113R. Revay1.836101151WSep 2 · 08:58P. Wawrosz1.91711121282R. Revay1.801181014113WSep 2 · 08:30R. Revay1.83461111113P. Wawrosz1.8311115782LSep 2 · 07:00R. Revay2.0011812101T. Zika1.7351114123
M. Navedla10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142LSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192LSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120LSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133LSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
Upcoming Matches
R. Revay
Nothing scheduled
M. Navedla
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