TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064116
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115119––––
Radomir Revay
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 24–19 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 19 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-19 in 43
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1897 vs Revay 1790
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 60% vs Revay 40%
Szotkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 60% vs Revay 30%
Szotkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski +2 · Revay -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.67 / Revay 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Szotkowski)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064116
Szotkowski1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 134 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it72% 105 of 146
Revay2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 125 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back32% 46 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski5wins
AwayRevay5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski62.5%5 of 8
AwayRevayn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski8Revay2n = 10Szotkowski took 8 of 10
S2Szotkowski4Revay6n = 10Revay took 6 of 10
S3Szotkowski5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S4Szotkowski0Revay6n = 6Revay took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiRevayS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.834.3+1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 833 vs 288 / 55852.2%51.6%435 / 833 vs 288 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.67/Revay 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski—1111113R. Revay—8590
WAug 31 · 20:30J. Szotkowski—1111113R. Revay—7290
LAug 31 · 16:00J. Szotkowski—117481R. Revay—91111113
WAug 27 · 11:30J. Szotkowski—1111113R. Revay—3360
LAug 14 · 09:00J. Szotkowski—119791R. Revay—71111113
LAug 14 · 06:30J. Szotkowski—118591R. Revay—81111113
LAug 10 · 11:30J. Szotkowski—9115111R. Revay—11911133
WAug 5 · 07:00J. Szotkowski—119116113R. Revay—71181182
WJul 27 · 10:30J. Szotkowski—119119113R. Revay—81171192
LJul 16 · 13:29J. Szotkowski—7990R. Revay—1111113
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.831111113T. Zika1.837730WSep 3 · 09:28J. Szotkowski1.571211113R. Polasek2.2510890WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Polasek2.106260WSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika1.733820J. Szotkowski2.001111113LSep 2 · 13:28T. Dousek1.831111113J. Szotkowski1.838890LSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631WSep 2 · 11:00T. Dousek1.8311181162J. Szotkowski1.83117119113
R. Revay10
LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120LSep 3 · 07:30R. Revay1.91126111172T. Zika1.80141156113LSep 3 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311127113R. Revay1.836101151WSep 2 · 08:58P. Wawrosz1.91711121282R. Revay1.801181014113WSep 2 · 08:30R. Revay1.83461111113P. Wawrosz1.8311115782LSep 2 · 07:00R. Revay2.0011812101T. Zika1.7351114123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.