TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064113
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117113––––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 50 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 114–97 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 97 of their 211 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
114-97 in 211
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 17 in 211, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1952 vs Zika 1901
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 80% vs Zika 40%
Szotkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 70% vs Zika 40%
Szotkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski +4 · Zika +1
Szotkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szotkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.83 / Zika 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szotkowski)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064113
Szotkowski1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Zika1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski7wins
AwayZika3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayZika33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski7Zika3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Szotkowski3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Szotkowski7Zika3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S4Szotkowski6Zika2n = 8Szotkowski took 6 of 8
S5Szotkowski2Zika1n = 3Szotkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiZikaS − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.436.3+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 835 vs 784 / 171052.3%45.9%437 / 835 vs 784 / 1710Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.83/Zika 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski—1111113T. Zika—7730
WSep 3 · 06:00J. Szotkowski—1111113T. Zika—3820
WSep 2 · 10:30J. Szotkowski—19911113T. Zika—1711861
WAug 31 · 19:00J. Szotkowski—12811123T. Zika—10114101
WAug 31 · 15:00J. Szotkowski—781611113T. Zika—111114762
WAug 27 · 17:30J. Szotkowski—11811123T. Zika—5119101
LAug 27 · 14:30J. Szotkowski—911981T. Zika—11311113
LAug 27 · 10:00J. Szotkowski—111051182T. Zika—912116113
LAug 25 · 17:30J. Szotkowski—117971T. Zika—71111113
WAug 25 · 14:30J. Szotkowski—651111113T. Zika—11119972
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 09:28J. Szotkowski1.571211113R. Polasek2.2510890WSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Polasek2.106260WSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika1.733820J. Szotkowski2.001111113LSep 2 · 13:28T. Dousek1.831111113J. Szotkowski1.838890LSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631WSep 2 · 11:00T. Dousek1.8311181162J. Szotkowski1.83117119113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika1.733820J. Szotkowski2.001111113
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