TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077453
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Cabis
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116811119113––
Tadeas Zika
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-3
Point 66 set 4, 7-3 — our read held Michal Cabis at 56.4%
66 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Cabis 69–54 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 54 of their 123 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cabis
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-54 in 123
Cabis
Correct
gap of 15 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabis 1868 vs Zika 1855
Cabis
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabis 40% vs Zika 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabis 50% vs Zika 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabis -1 · Zika +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Cabis) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 1.61 / Zika 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Cabis)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077453
Cabis1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 142 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it76% 96 of 127
Zika2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 353 of 758
Down 0–1, comes back29% 111 of 390
Down 0–2, comes back8% 16 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabis5wins
AwayZika5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabis100%3 of 3
AwayZika71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Cabis6Zika4n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S3Cabis3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S4Cabis4Zika5n = 9Zika took 5 of 9
S5Cabis3Zika0n = 3Cabis took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabisZikaC − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.9−2.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 697 vs 785 / 171052.4%45.9%365 / 697 vs 785 / 1710Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisCabis 1.61/Zika 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cabis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 08:58M. Cabis—119913113T. Zika—811111192
LAug 28 · 07:30M. Cabis—9980T. Zika—1111113
LAug 24 · 12:00M. Cabis—8141071T. Zika—111212113
LAug 20 · 10:30M. Cabis—711471T. Zika—11311113
LAug 19 · 10:30M. Cabis—811831T. Zika—11811113
LAug 18 · 13:00M. Cabis—5111031T. Zika—11712113
WAug 18 · 10:30M. Cabis—711112113T. Zika—11961172
WAug 14 · 09:30M. Cabis—111611113T. Zika—718971
WAug 14 · 06:00M. Cabis—11119113T. Zika—791151
WAug 13 · 14:30M. Cabis—881111113T. Zika—11116892
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113WAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka2.106111051M. Cabis1.6711912113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241WAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.