TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047967
Played Aug 31Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117411114119––
Michal Cabis
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:47 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 68 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Michal Cabis at 56.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 54–69 Michal Cabis Tadeas Zika has won 54 of their 123 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cabis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-69 in 123
Cabis
Wrong
gap of 15 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1907 vs Cabis 1864
Zika
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 40% vs Cabis 80%
Cabis
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 50% vs Cabis 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -1 · Cabis -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Cabis) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.20 / Cabis 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Cabis)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047967
Zika2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 350 of 759
Down 0–1, comes back28% 109 of 387
Down 0–2, comes back8% 16 of 199
Cabis1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 141 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika5wins
AwayCabis5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika71.4%5 of 7
AwayCabis100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika7Cabis3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Zika4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S3Zika7Cabis3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S4Zika5Cabis4n = 9Zika took 5 of 9
S5Zika0Cabis3n = 3Cabis took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaCabisZ − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.8+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1687 vs 364 / 69845.7%52.2%771 / 1687 vs 364 / 698Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisZika 2.20/Cabis 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 08:58T. Zika—811111192M. Cabis—119913113
WAug 28 · 07:30T. Zika—1111113M. Cabis—9980
WAug 24 · 12:00T. Zika—111212113M. Cabis—8141071
WAug 20 · 10:30T. Zika—11311113M. Cabis—711471
WAug 19 · 10:30T. Zika—11811113M. Cabis—811831
WAug 18 · 13:00T. Zika—11712113M. Cabis—5111031
LAug 18 · 10:30T. Zika—11961172M. Cabis—711112113
LAug 14 · 09:30T. Zika—718971M. Cabis—111611113
LAug 14 · 06:00T. Zika—791151M. Cabis—11119113
LAug 13 · 14:30T. Zika—11116892M. Cabis—881111113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113WAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka2.106111051M. Cabis1.6711912113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.