TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047797
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121113811––––
Michal Cabis
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousek to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 65 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Dousek at 58.7%
65 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 10–12 Michal Cabis Tomas Dousek has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dousek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Cabis
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1853 vs Cabis 1845
Dousek
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 60% vs Cabis 40%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 70% vs Cabis 40%
Dousek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +1 · Cabis +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.80 / Cabis 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dousek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047797
Dousek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 109 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it76% 83 of 109
Cabis1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 86 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back33% 32 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek5wins
AwayCabis5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek75%3 of 4
AwayCabis66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S2Dousek4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S3Dousek7Cabis3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S4Dousek5Cabis4n = 9Dousek took 5 of 9
S5Dousek2Cabis3n = 5Cabis took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekCabisD − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.7+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 418 vs 362 / 69553.4%52.1%223 / 418 vs 362 / 695Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekDousek 1.80/Cabis 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cabis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek—101180M. Cabis—1213113
LAug 24 · 11:30T. Dousek—118111192M. Cabis—311913113
WAug 19 · 13:00T. Dousek—11911113M. Cabis—911371
LAug 19 · 11:00T. Dousek—106111192M. Cabis—121198113
LAug 13 · 12:00T. Dousek—7111041M. Cabis—11612113
LAug 12 · 11:00T. Dousek—66111182M. Cabis—111198113
WAug 9 · 13:29T. Dousek—11119113M. Cabis—881181
WAug 9 · 11:30T. Dousek—613116113M. Cabis—111191172
WJul 8 · 10:00T. Dousek—11911113M. Cabis—611381
WJul 7 · 16:58T. Dousek—911116113M. Cabis—11571172
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka2.106111051M. Cabis1.6711912113
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