TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077426
Played Sep 4Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118118––––
Tomas Dousek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8
57 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 18–14 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.91 / Dousek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dousek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077426
Polasek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 169 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back29% 48 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 84
Dousek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 114 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it77% 88 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek5wins
AwayDousek5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDousek44.4%4 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek1Dousek9n = 10Dousek took 9 of 10
S2Polasek6Dousek4n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S3Polasek5Dousek5n = 10split evenly
S4Polasek6Dousek2n = 8Polasek took 6 of 8
S5Polasek3Dousek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekDousekP − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.6−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 855 vs 231 / 43450.9%53.2%435 / 855 vs 231 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekPolasek 1.91/Dousek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:00R. Polasek—91112113T. Dousek—1181081
LAug 31 · 07:30R. Polasek—711911102T. Dousek—118117123
LAug 25 · 09:28R. Polasek—112511102T. Dousek—711117123
WAug 25 · 08:00R. Polasek—91111113T. Dousek—118571
LAug 24 · 08:00R. Polasek—61111372T. Dousek—118911113
LAug 21 · 20:30R. Polasek—7490T. Dousek—1111113
WAug 16 · 11:30R. Polasek—611116123T. Dousek—115511102
WAug 14 · 12:00R. Polasek—812612113T. Dousek—1110111042
LAug 9 · 12:30R. Polasek—91180T. Dousek—1113113
WAug 8 · 15:30R. Polasek—461111113T. Dousek—11117422
R. Polasek10
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123WSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113LSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
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