TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077616
Played Sep 5Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114411411119811
Martin Biolek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-10
Point 83 set 5, 8-10 — our read held Martin Biolek at 60.5%
83 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radovan Polasek 8–8 Martin Biolek Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1878 vs Biolek 1931
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 60% vs Biolek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 60% vs Biolek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek +3 · Biolek +1
Polasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 2.20 / Biolek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Biolek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077616
Polasek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 173 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back29% 50 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 85
Biolek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 106 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it72% 78 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek7wins
AwayBiolek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek100%4 of 4
AwayBiolek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek4Biolek6n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S2Polasek6Biolek4n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S3Polasek4Biolek6n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S4Polasek6Biolek3n = 9Polasek took 6 of 9
S5Polasek4Biolek1n = 5Polasek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekBiolekP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.441.5−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 857 vs 216 / 38951%55.5%437 / 857 vs 216 / 389Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekPolasek 2.20/Biolek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 16:30R. Polasek—491111113M. Biolek—11117872
WAug 3 · 14:00R. Polasek—119115113M. Biolek—81171172
LJun 15 · 18:30R. Polasek—2630M. Biolek—1111113
WJun 7 · 17:29R. Polasek—111511113M. Biolek—617731
LJun 7 · 15:30R. Polasek—313531M. Biolek—111111113
WJun 7 · 10:00R. Polasek—811811113M. Biolek—11411882
WJun 6 · 17:30R. Polasek—111110153M. Biolek—5912131
WJun 6 · 15:30R. Polasek—111511163M. Biolek—118118142
LJun 2 · 20:00R. Polasek—511116112M. Biolek—114711133
WApr 17 · 17:00R. Polasek—13128113M. Biolek—11101161
R. Polasek10
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123WSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880WSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113LSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191
M. Biolek10
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113LSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113WSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101
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