TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077461
Played Sep 5Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151156111210––
Martin Biolek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 71 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 29–28 Martin Biolek Martin Biolek has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Biolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-28 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1901 vs Biolek 1954
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 80% vs Biolek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 60% vs Biolek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril -1 · Biolek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 2.00 / Biolek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Biolek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077461
Paril2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 130 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back26% 38 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Biolek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 106 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it72% 78 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil5wins
AwayBiolek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil100%3 of 3
AwayBiolek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril3Biolek7n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S2Paril6Biolek4n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S3Paril4Biolek6n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S4Paril2Biolek3n = 5Biolek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilBiolekP − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.233.3−1.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 961 vs 215 / 38752%55.6%500 / 961 vs 215 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekParil 2.00/Biolek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril—11116123M. Biolek—5511101
LSep 1 · 15:30O. Paril—8360M. Biolek—1111113
WAug 24 · 18:00O. Paril—251111113M. Biolek—11114562
WJul 19 · 12:59O. Paril—1111113M. Biolek—5270
LJul 19 · 10:00O. Paril—9680M. Biolek—1111113
LJul 18 · 21:30O. Paril—811791M. Biolek—11711113
LJul 18 · 20:00O. Paril—21040M. Biolek—1112113
WJul 6 · 14:00O. Paril—611119113M. Biolek—11881152
LJul 5 · 15:30O. Paril—9132131M. Biolek—111111153
WJul 4 · 21:06O. Paril—1111113M. Biolek—6860
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
M. Biolek10
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113LSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113WSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880
Upcoming Matches
O. Paril
M. Biolek
Nothing scheduled
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