TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077437
Played Sep 4Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
1.94
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311118––––
Jan Dzida
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jan Dzida at 54.4%
59 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 24–27 Jan Dzida Ondrej Paril has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (54%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-27 in 51
Dzida
Wrong
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1884 vs Dzida 1953
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 60% vs Dzida 80%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 50% vs Dzida 70%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril +3 · Dzida -1
Paril
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 1.94 / Dzida 1.68
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077437
Paril1.94
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 127 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Dzida1.68
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 135 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it73% 98 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil5wins
AwayDzida5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil71.4%5 of 7
AwayDzida100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril7Dzida3n = 10Paril took 7 of 10
S2Paril5Dzida5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril4Dzida6n = 10Dzida took 6 of 10
S4Paril4Dzida2n = 6Paril took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilDzidaP − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.634.9+0.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 958 vs 203 / 34352%59.2%498 / 958 vs 203 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaParil 1.94/Dzida 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:30O. Paril—11113123J. Dzida—8811101
LSep 1 · 16:59O. Paril—11881192J. Dzida—311118113
LSep 1 · 16:30O. Paril—9850J. Dzida—1111113
WAug 29 · 10:00O. Paril—11912123J. Dzida—91110101
LAug 23 · 20:58O. Paril—7790J. Dzida—1111113
LAug 23 · 18:30O. Paril—11118362J. Dzida—641111113
WAug 22 · 14:00O. Paril—1311113J. Dzida—11550
WJul 18 · 18:30O. Paril—111110113J. Dzida—971261
LJul 18 · 14:30O. Paril—861271J. Dzida—111110113
WJul 17 · 06:30O. Paril—1111113J. Dzida—8580
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
J. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192WSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850LSep 1 · 15:00J. Dzida1.40461171T. Zika2.7511115113
Upcoming Matches
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