TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082053
Played Sep 6Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315711911––––
Jan Dzida
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 66 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 25–27 Jan Dzida Ondrej Paril has won 25 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-27 in 52
Dzida
Correct
gap of 2 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1944 vs Dzida 1937
Paril
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 80% vs Dzida 60%
Paril
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 70% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril +3 · Dzida -2
Paril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 2.00 / Dzida 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082053
Paril2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 131 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back26% 38 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Dzida1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 137 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it74% 100 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil5wins
AwayDzida5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil71.4%5 of 7
AwayDzida100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril7Dzida3n = 10Paril took 7 of 10
S2Paril5Dzida5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril4Dzida6n = 10Dzida took 6 of 10
S4Paril4Dzida2n = 6Paril took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilDzidaP − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.835.2+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime502 / 963 vs 203 / 34452.1%59%502 / 963 vs 203 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaParil 2.00/Dzida 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril—1113113J. Dzida—51180
WSep 4 · 12:30O. Paril—11113123J. Dzida—8811101
LSep 1 · 16:59O. Paril—11881192J. Dzida—311118113
LSep 1 · 16:30O. Paril—9850J. Dzida—1111113
WAug 29 · 10:00O. Paril—11912123J. Dzida—91110101
LAug 23 · 20:58O. Paril—7790J. Dzida—1111113
LAug 23 · 18:30O. Paril—11118362J. Dzida—641111113
WAug 22 · 14:00O. Paril—1311113J. Dzida—11550
WJul 18 · 18:30O. Paril—111110113J. Dzida—971261
LJul 18 · 14:30O. Paril—861271J. Dzida—111110113
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
J. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192WSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850LSep 1 · 15:00J. Dzida1.40461171T. Zika2.7511115113
Upcoming Matches
O. Paril
J. Dzida
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