TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087589
Played Sep 7Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711611118711––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 65.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 5–11 Dmytro Opanasiuk Ondrej Paril has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Opanasiuk
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1827 vs Opanasiuk 1970
Opanasiuk
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 0% vs Opanasiuk 60%
Opanasiuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 30% vs Opanasiuk 50%
Opanasiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril -5 · Opanasiuk -1
Paril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 2.75 / Opanasiuk 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087589
Paril2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 130 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 78
Opanasiuk1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 83 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it69% 51 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil2wins
AwayOpanasiuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil66.7%2 of 3
AwayOpanasiuk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril3Opanasiuk7n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S2Paril2Opanasiuk8n = 10Opanasiuk took 8 of 10
S3Paril5Opanasiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Paril1Opanasiuk6n = 7Opanasiuk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilOpanasiukP − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.340.0−8.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 966 vs 138 / 25851.9%53.5%501 / 966 vs 138 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukParil 2.75/Opanasiuk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril—761171D. Opanasiuk—11118113
LSep 6 · 19:00O. Paril—11411111D. Opanasiuk—71113133
WAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril—11611173D. Opanasiuk—8116151
LAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril—6490D. Opanasiuk—1111113
WAug 22 · 17:29O. Paril—114115113D. Opanasiuk—81151182
LAug 22 · 15:00O. Paril—8950D. Opanasiuk—1111113
LJun 13 · 14:30O. Paril—341171D. Opanasiuk—11116113
LJun 13 · 10:00O. Paril—46100D. Opanasiuk—1111123
LMay 31 · 07:30O. Paril—31211362D. Opanasiuk—1110611113
LMay 25 · 20:30O. Paril—713891D. Opanasiuk—111111113
O. Paril10
LSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113
Upcoming Matches
O. Paril
D. Opanasiuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.