TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481356
Played Aug 24Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1186111161715––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:59 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 85 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 67.5%
85 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 3–7 Dmytro Opanasiuk Ondrej Paril has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Opanasiuk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1862 vs Opanasiuk 1957
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 20% vs Opanasiuk 60%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 50% vs Opanasiuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril +1 · Opanasiuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 2.75 / Opanasiuk 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481356
Paril2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 117 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back24% 34 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 71
Opanasiuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 81 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it70% 51 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil3wins
AwayOpanasiuk7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil100%3 of 3
AwayOpanasiuk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril3Opanasiuk7n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S2Paril5Opanasiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril5Opanasiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Paril1Opanasiuk4n = 5Opanasiuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilOpanasiukP − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.335.7−4.4per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 920 vs 132 / 24851.9%53.2%477 / 920 vs 132 / 248Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukParil 2.75/Opanasiuk 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.3%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 13 · 14:30O. Paril—341171D. Opanasiuk—11116113
LJun 13 · 10:00O. Paril—46100D. Opanasiuk—1111123
LMay 31 · 07:30O. Paril—31211362D. Opanasiuk—1110611113
LMay 25 · 20:30O. Paril—713891D. Opanasiuk—111111113
WMay 24 · 15:00O. Paril—11911133D. Opanasiuk—4118111
WMay 23 · 09:30O. Paril—1211113D. Opanasiuk—10760
LMay 23 · 08:00O. Paril—7590D. Opanasiuk—1111113
LMay 10 · 07:30O. Paril—12118111D. Opanasiuk—14711133
WMay 4 · 18:30O. Paril—1111113D. Opanasiuk—8960
LApr 29 · 19:31O. Paril—5890D. Opanasiuk—1111113
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113LAug 23 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.55141881M. Cabis2.30121111113WAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.80111111123J. Dzida1.915136101WAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
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