TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481939
Played Aug 23Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412111811811––
Michal Cabis
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 61.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 3–3 Michal Cabis Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1983 vs Cabis 1862
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Cabis 60%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 60% vs Cabis 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +3 · Cabis +2
Opanasiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.55 / Cabis 2.30
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481939
Opanasiuk1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 74 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it68% 45 of 66
Cabis2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 87 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back33% 31 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk3wins
AwayCabis3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk75%3 of 4
AwayCabisn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk4Cabis2n = 6Opanasiuk took 4 of 6
S2Opanasiuk4Cabis2n = 6Opanasiuk took 4 of 6
S3Opanasiuk2Cabis4n = 6Cabis took 4 of 6
S4Opanasiuk1Cabis4n = 5Cabis took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricOpanasiukCabisO − CBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.836.2+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 246 vs 350 / 67153.7%52.2%132 / 246 vs 350 / 671Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.55/Cabis 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cabis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 23 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk—111147113M. Cabis—94111192
LAug 9 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk—11612131M. Cabis—91114153
LJun 25 · 14:00D. Opanasiuk—961181M. Cabis—11119113
WJun 24 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk—1111113M. Cabis—2880
LJun 1 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk—711581M. Cabis—11311113
WMay 31 · 08:30D. Opanasiuk—11129113M. Cabis—4101131
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113WAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.80111111123J. Dzida1.915136101WAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113
Upcoming Matches
D. Opanasiuk
M. Cabis
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.