TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12474994
Played Aug 23Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11511131161210––
Jan Dzida
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jan Dzida at 55.4%
79 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 5–8 Jan Dzida Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:07What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Dzida
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1973 vs Dzida 1936
Opanasiuk
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Dzida 60%
Opanasiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 60% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +2 · Dzida -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.80 / Dzida 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12474994
Opanasiuk1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 74 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it68% 45 of 66
Dzida1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog57% won 8 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk3wins
AwayDzida7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDzida leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%3 of 3
AwayDzida100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk3Dzida7n = 10Dzida took 7 of 10
S2Opanasiuk7Dzida3n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S3Opanasiuk3Dzida7n = 10Dzida took 7 of 10
S4Opanasiuk4Dzida3n = 7Opanasiuk took 4 of 7
S5Opanasiuk0Dzida3n = 3Dzida took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpanasiukDzidaO − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.3−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 245 vs 192 / 32253.5%59.6%131 / 245 vs 192 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaOpanasiuk 1.80/Dzida 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk—1111123J. Dzida—88100
LAug 9 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk—91161352J. Dzida—1141111113
LJun 11 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk—9880J. Dzida—1111113
WMay 31 · 09:30D. Opanasiuk—13114113J. Dzida—1181131
LMay 31 · 06:30D. Opanasiuk—6111691J. Dzida—11518113
WMay 30 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk—13911113J. Dzida—1111651
LMay 24 · 17:00D. Opanasiuk—71111832J. Dzida—114911113
LMay 24 · 14:00D. Opanasiuk—61141192J. Dzida—116119113
LMay 17 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk—1013431J. Dzida—121111113
LMay 10 · 09:30D. Opanasiuk—61260J. Dzida—1114113
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113LAug 23 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.55141881M. Cabis2.30121111113WAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
J. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192WSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850
Upcoming Matches
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J. Dzida
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