TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13089322
Played Sep 6Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.64
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1196112119511811
Jan Dzida
Away
2.01
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 21-19
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 112 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 54.8%
112 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 8–8 Jan Dzida Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1962 vs Dzida 1977
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Dzida 40%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 60% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +4 · Dzida -1
Opanasiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.64 / Dzida 2.01
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13089322
Opanasiuk1.64
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 81 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it70% 51 of 73
Dzida2.01
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 9 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back40% 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk6wins
AwayDzida4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%5 of 5
AwayDzida80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk5Dzida5n = 10split evenly
S2Opanasiuk7Dzida3n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S3Opanasiuk5Dzida5n = 10split evenly
S4Opanasiuk5Dzida3n = 8Opanasiuk took 5 of 8
S5Opanasiuk1Dzida2n = 3Dzida took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpanasiukDzidaO − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.037.9+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 254 vs 205 / 34753.5%59.1%136 / 254 vs 205 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.64/Dzida 2.01
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk—81212113J. Dzida—11101081
WAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk—111111123J. Dzida—5136101
WAug 22 · 16:00D. Opanasiuk—111174113J. Dzida—99111122
WAug 16 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk—1111123J. Dzida—88100
LAug 9 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk—91161352J. Dzida—1141111113
LJun 11 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk—9880J. Dzida—1111113
WMay 31 · 09:30D. Opanasiuk—13114113J. Dzida—1181131
LMay 31 · 06:30D. Opanasiuk—6111691J. Dzida—11518113
WMay 30 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk—13911113J. Dzida—1111651
LMay 24 · 17:00D. Opanasiuk—71111832J. Dzida—114911113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113LAug 23 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.55141881M. Cabis2.30121111113WAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.80111111123J. Dzida1.915136101WAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
J. Dzida10
LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192WSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850LAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.80111111123J. Dzida1.915136101
Upcoming Matches
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J. Dzida
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