TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082648
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111210711115211
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 87 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 14–10 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Biolek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1956 vs Opanasiuk 1915
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 60% vs Opanasiuk 20%
Biolek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 60% vs Opanasiuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek -1 · Opanasiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.83 / Opanasiuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Biolek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082648
Biolek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Opanasiuk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek7wins
AwayOpanasiuk3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek80%4 of 5
AwayOpanasiuk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek5Opanasiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Biolek6Opanasiuk4n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S3Biolek4Opanasiuk6n = 10Opanasiuk took 6 of 10
S4Biolek3Opanasiuk4n = 7Opanasiuk took 4 of 7
S5Biolek5Opanasiuk0n = 5Biolek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekOpanasiukB − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.0+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 392 vs 133 / 25155.6%53%218 / 392 vs 133 / 251Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.83/Opanasiuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek—111211101D. Opanasiuk—31413123
WAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek—1111113D. Opanasiuk—9480
WAug 22 · 12:00M. Biolek—111488123D. Opanasiuk—8121111102
LAug 16 · 21:30M. Biolek—2860D. Opanasiuk—1111113
WAug 16 · 18:30M. Biolek—111411113D. Opanasiuk—11811682
WAug 9 · 20:59M. Biolek—139511123D. Opanasiuk—1111116102
WAug 9 · 18:30M. Biolek—9111310113D. Opanasiuk—117111272
LAug 9 · 14:00M. Biolek—781171D. Opanasiuk—11119113
WJun 11 · 21:00M. Biolek—911911113D. Opanasiuk—11711582
WJun 11 · 19:00M. Biolek—1111113D. Opanasiuk—5570
M. Biolek10
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113WSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113LAug 23 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.55141881M. Cabis2.30121111113WAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.80111111123J. Dzida1.915136101WAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Biolek
Nothing scheduled
D. Opanasiuk
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