TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076760
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911118811411
Martin Biolek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 60.4%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 3–10 Martin Biolek Tomas Dousek has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Biolek
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1833 vs Biolek 1957
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 20% vs Biolek 60%
Biolek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 40% vs Biolek 70%
Biolek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +1 · Biolek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.50 / Biolek 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Biolek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076760
Dousek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 41 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Biolek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 106 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it72% 78 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek2wins
AwayBiolek8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek0%0 of 3
AwayBiolek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek3Biolek7n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S2Dousek2Biolek8n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S3Dousek5Biolek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dousek4Biolek3n = 7Dousek took 4 of 7
S5Dousek1Biolek4n = 5Biolek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekBiolekD − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.642.0−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 437 vs 217 / 39053.1%55.6%232 / 437 vs 217 / 390Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekDousek 2.50/Biolek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 14:00T. Dousek—14611922M. Biolek—1211411113
LJul 14 · 14:00T. Dousek—5450M. Biolek—1111113
LJul 12 · 13:00T. Dousek—98100M. Biolek—1111123
LJul 12 · 11:00T. Dousek—11991372M. Biolek—6111111113
LJul 7 · 15:00T. Dousek—6750M. Biolek—1111113
WJul 5 · 17:30T. Dousek—51211113M. Biolek—1110571
LJul 5 · 16:00T. Dousek—1012111142M. Biolek—121489113
LJun 29 · 17:30T. Dousek—61111692M. Biolek—118711113
WJun 29 · 16:00T. Dousek—591111113M. Biolek—11118852
LJun 15 · 17:18T. Dousek—129531M. Biolek—101111113
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
M. Biolek10
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113LSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113WSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101
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