TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082123
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171210811118––
Ondrej Paril
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 28–29 Ondrej Paril Martin Biolek has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-29 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1913 vs Paril 1900
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 40% vs Paril 60%
Paril
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 50% vs Paril 70%
Paril
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek -3 · Paril -2
Biolek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.73 / Paril 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Biolek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082123
Biolek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 109 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it90% 51 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it71% 79 of 111
Paril2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 131 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back26% 38 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek5wins
AwayParil5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek71.4%5 of 7
AwayParil100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek7Paril3n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S2Biolek4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S3Biolek6Paril4n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S4Biolek3Paril2n = 5Biolek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekParilB − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.332.2+1.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekParilBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 394 vs 502 / 96555.3%52%218 / 394 vs 502 / 965Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.73/Paril 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 11:30M. Biolek—5511101O. Paril—11116123
WSep 1 · 15:30M. Biolek—1111113O. Paril—8360
LAug 24 · 18:00M. Biolek—11114562O. Paril—251111113
LJul 19 · 12:59M. Biolek—5270O. Paril—1111113
WJul 19 · 10:00M. Biolek—1111113O. Paril—9680
WJul 18 · 21:30M. Biolek—11711113O. Paril—811791
WJul 18 · 20:00M. Biolek—1112113O. Paril—21040
LJul 6 · 14:00M. Biolek—11881152O. Paril—611119113
WJul 5 · 15:30M. Biolek—111111153O. Paril—9132131
LJul 4 · 21:06M. Biolek—6860O. Paril—1111113
M. Biolek10
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113LSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113WSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
Upcoming Matches
M. Biolek
Nothing scheduled
O. Paril
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