TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071726
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8118111131012––
Ondrej Paril
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jan Dzida at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 25–23 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-23 in 48
Dzida
Wrong
gap of 2 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1968 vs Paril 1869
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 80% vs Paril 60%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 70% vs Paril 40%
Dzida
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida +4 · Paril +2
Dzida
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.73 / Paril 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Dzida)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071726
Dzida1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 135 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it73% 98 of 134
Paril2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 127 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDzida3wins
AwayParil7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderParil leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida50%2 of 4
AwayParil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S2Dzida3Paril7n = 10Paril took 7 of 10
S3Dzida4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S4Dzida3Paril4n = 7Paril took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDzidaParilD − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.238.1−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaParilBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 342 vs 497 / 95759.4%51.9%203 / 342 vs 497 / 957Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.73/Paril 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 10:00J. Dzida—91110101O. Paril—11912123
WAug 23 · 20:58J. Dzida—1111113O. Paril—7790
WAug 23 · 18:30J. Dzida—641111113O. Paril—11118362
LAug 22 · 14:00J. Dzida—11550O. Paril—1311113
LJul 18 · 18:30J. Dzida—971261O. Paril—111110113
WJul 18 · 14:30J. Dzida—111110113O. Paril—861271
LJul 17 · 06:30J. Dzida—8580O. Paril—1111113
LJul 3 · 10:30J. Dzida—571261O. Paril—111110113
LJul 1 · 14:30J. Dzida—1381001O. Paril—111112113
LJun 28 · 14:00J. Dzida—11691192O. Paril—511115113
J. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192WSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850LSep 1 · 15:00J. Dzida1.40461171T. Zika2.7511115113
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192LSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850
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O. Paril
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