TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070689
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111148111311611
Jan Dzida
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Dzida at 69.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 0–5 Jan Dzida Tomas Dousek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:58What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Dzida
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1893 vs Dzida 1944
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 80% vs Dzida 60%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 80% vs Dzida 60%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +3 · Dzida +2
Dousek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.75 / Dzida 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Dzida)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070689
Dousek2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 41 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Dzida1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 135 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it73% 98 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDousek0wins
AwayDzida5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderDzida leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDzida100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek0Dzida5n = 5Dzida took 5 of 5
S2Dousek1Dzida4n = 5Dzida took 4 of 5
S3Dousek1Dzida4n = 5Dzida took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricDousekDzidaDousek − DzidaBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match27.638.4−10.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 431 vs 201 / 34053.6%59.1%231 / 431 vs 201 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDousek 2.75/Dzida 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 7 · 14:30T. Dousek—8670J. Dzida—1111113
LJun 15 · 15:30T. Dousek—712891J. Dzida—111011113
LMar 27 · 18:00T. Dousek—59111292J. Dzida—1111810113
LMar 27 · 15:00T. Dousek—6460J. Dzida—1111113
LDec 23 · 13:00T. Dousek—8470J. Dzida—1111103
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
J. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192WSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850LSep 1 · 15:00J. Dzida1.40461171T. Zika2.7511115113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.