TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053012
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411611115711––
Tadeas Zika
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:45 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 66 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jan Dzida at 69.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 30–11 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 11 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:45What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-11 in 41
Dzida
Wrong
gap of 19 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1925 vs Zika 1953
Zika
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 60% vs Zika 80%
Zika
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 50% vs Zika 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -1 · Zika +4
Zika
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.40 / Zika 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Dzida)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053012
Dzida1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 136 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 133
Zika2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 349 of 754
Down 0–1, comes back28% 109 of 385
Down 0–2, comes back8% 16 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDzida7wins
AwayZika3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDzida leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida75%6 of 8
AwayZikan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida8Zika2n = 10Dzida took 8 of 10
S2Dzida3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Dzida7Zika3n = 10Dzida took 7 of 10
S4Dzida3Zika4n = 7Zika took 4 of 7
S5Dzida3Zika1n = 4Dzida took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDzidaZikaD − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.437.7+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 337 vs 777 / 169859.1%45.8%199 / 337 vs 777 / 1698Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.40/Zika 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 24 · 08:58J. Dzida—117117113T. Zika—61181192
LJul 24 · 07:00J. Dzida—1112119102T. Zika—814811123
WJul 23 · 16:30J. Dzida—11811113T. Zika—811961
LJul 21 · 16:30J. Dzida—56120T. Zika—1111143
WJul 18 · 21:00J. Dzida—11711113T. Zika—611691
WJul 18 · 20:30J. Dzida—141198123T. Zika—1281111102
WJul 18 · 17:30J. Dzida—1111113T. Zika—4940
LJul 18 · 16:00J. Dzida—1115781T. Zika—61711113
WJul 17 · 09:02J. Dzida—971111113T. Zika—11119762
WJul 17 · 07:00J. Dzida—1111113T. Zika—5680
J. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192WSep 1 · 16:30J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109850
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241
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