TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076574
Played Sep 4Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1315117711711––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 82 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 26–28 Tadeas Zika Pavel Wawrosz has won 26 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-28 in 54
Zika
Correct
gap of 2 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1756 vs Zika 1855
Zika
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 40% vs Zika 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 30% vs Zika 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz +2 · Zika -3
Zika
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.91 / Zika 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zika)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076574
Wawrosz1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 50 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Zika1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 108 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it70% 76 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz4wins
AwayZika6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz66.7%2 of 3
AwayZika71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Wawrosz5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S3Wawrosz5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S4Wawrosz3Zika6n = 9Zika took 6 of 9
S5Wawrosz2Zika1n = 3Wawrosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszZikaW − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.7−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 389 vs 786 / 171350.4%45.9%196 / 389 vs 786 / 1713Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaWawrosz 1.91/Zika 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—116118113T. Zika—51151142
LSep 2 · 06:30P. Wawrosz—7680T. Zika—1111113
LAug 26 · 20:58P. Wawrosz—911651T. Zika—11711113
LAug 26 · 19:30P. Wawrosz—912981T. Zika—111011113
WAug 20 · 16:30P. Wawrosz—81212113T. Zika—11101071
LAug 19 · 09:30P. Wawrosz—13118852T. Zika—1181111113
LAug 19 · 07:30P. Wawrosz—661191T. Zika—11115113
LAug 17 · 14:30P. Wawrosz—711591T. Zika—11711113
WAug 17 · 11:00P. Wawrosz—871111133T. Zika—111189112
WAug 15 · 09:00P. Wawrosz—12411113T. Zika—1011511
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113WSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113WSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481WSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch1.72117271P. Wawrosz2.0041111113LSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161LSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241LSep 4 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.83116118113T. Zika1.8351151142
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