TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098004
Played Sep 8Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114611611––
Radovan Polasek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11
67 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 26–26 Radovan Polasek Dead even across their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Wawrosz beat Polasek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wawrosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.73 / Polasek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wawrosz)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098004
Wawrosz1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 150 of 292
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it73% 100 of 138
Polasek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 174 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back30% 51 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz6wins
AwayPolasek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz100%5 of 5
AwayPolasek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Wawrosz5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Wawrosz5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Wawrosz4Polasek3n = 7Wawrosz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszPolasekW − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.934.8−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 408 vs 441 / 86751%50.9%208 / 408 vs 441 / 867Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszWawrosz 1.73/Polasek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 08:00P. Wawrosz—1011116113R. Polasek—12881192
LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz—21250R. Polasek—1114113
LSep 4 · 06:00P. Wawrosz—811541R. Polasek—11611113
WSep 2 · 07:30P. Wawrosz—11711113R. Polasek—611681
WAug 25 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—14118113R. Polasek—1251171
WAug 24 · 08:59P. Wawrosz—11611113R. Polasek—911991
LAug 24 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—811621R. Polasek—11611113
WAug 19 · 08:30P. Wawrosz—1111113R. Polasek—5590
WAug 17 · 12:00P. Wawrosz—11711113R. Polasek—611851
LAug 15 · 07:30P. Wawrosz—8660R. Polasek—1111113
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113WSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481WSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch1.72117271P. Wawrosz2.0041111113LSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161LSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113
R. Polasek10
LSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113WSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113
Upcoming Matches
P. Wawrosz
Nothing scheduled
R. Polasek1 of 1 neutral
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