TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092816
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.72
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114711211711––
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 64 set 4, 7-11
64 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 6–2 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Pilch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.72 / Wawrosz 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pilch)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092816
Pilch1.72
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 59 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it70% 41 of 59
Wawrosz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 54 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePilch6wins
AwayWawrosz2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderPilch leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch75%3 of 4
AwayWawrosz25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch4Wawrosz4n = 8split evenly
S2Pilch5Wawrosz3n = 8Pilch took 5 of 8
S3Pilch4Wawrosz4n = 8split evenly
S4Pilch5Wawrosz1n = 6Pilch took 5 of 6
S5Pilch2Wawrosz1n = 3Pilch took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPilchWawroszP − WBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match39.638.0+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 427 vs 204 / 40450.8%50.5%217 / 427 vs 204 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchPilch 1.72/Wawrosz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch—71113113P. Wawrosz—1171161
WJul 24 · 06:30J. Pilch—111111113P. Wawrosz—139981
LJul 21 · 13:00J. Pilch—9640P. Wawrosz—1111113
WJul 21 · 11:30J. Pilch—1111113P. Wawrosz—9980
WJul 15 · 12:30J. Pilch—111212113P. Wawrosz—6101431
WJun 17 · 07:30J. Pilch—961111113P. Wawrosz—11116662
LJun 15 · 10:00J. Pilch—11114932P. Wawrosz—781111113
WJun 15 · 06:30J. Pilch—129411113P. Wawrosz—101111992
J. Pilch10
WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102WSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LAug 2 · 17:30M. Kratochvil2.2014411113J. Pilch1.611211621LAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil2.00212411113J. Pilch1.73111011672WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362WAug 2 · 14:30M. Szwarc1.8511790J. Pilch1.851311113WAug 2 · 13:30J. Pilch1.911311113O. Paril1.8011590LAug 2 · 12:30M. Szwarc2.001111113J. Pilch1.738880WAug 2 · 11:30J. Pilch2.381111113O. Paril1.537640
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161LSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692
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