TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12352140
Played Aug 2Finished
Michal Kratochvil
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412411116112––
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMichal Kratochvil above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 71 set 4, 11-2
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kratochvil 10–5 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pilch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 2.20 / Pilch 1.61
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Pilch)-0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12352140
Kratochvil2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 71 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Pilch1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 73 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it70% 46 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKratochvil5wins
AwayPilch5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochviln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPilch55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil1Pilch9n = 10Pilch took 9 of 10
S2Kratochvil6Pilch4n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S3Kratochvil4Pilch6n = 10Pilch took 6 of 10
S4Kratochvil2Pilch3n = 5Pilch took 3 of 5
S5Kratochvil3Pilch0n = 3Kratochvil took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKratochvilPilchK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.936.5−2.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 500 vs 248 / 49049.8%50.6%249 / 500 vs 248 / 490Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchKratochvil 2.20/Pilch 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil—212411113J. Pilch—111011672
LJul 12 · 08:30M. Kratochvil—11660J. Pilch—1311113
LJul 11 · 14:00M. Kratochvil—8650J. Pilch—1111113
LJul 8 · 17:00M. Kratochvil—81260J. Pilch—1114113
WJul 8 · 16:00M. Kratochvil—6111110113J. Pilch—11981282
LNov 22 · 13:58M. Kratochvil—5690J. Pilch—1111113
LNov 22 · 13:30M. Kratochvil—711681J. Pilch—11711113
WNov 9 · 13:30M. Kratochvil—1111113J. Pilch—8750
WAug 31 · 18:30M. Kratochvil—8111116113J. Pilch—11671862
WAug 31 · 15:00M. Kratochvil—61111123J. Pilch—1133101
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662
J. Pilch10
WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil2.00212411113J. Pilch1.73111011672WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362WAug 2 · 14:30M. Szwarc1.8511790J. Pilch1.851311113WAug 2 · 13:30J. Pilch1.911311113O. Paril1.8011590LAug 2 · 12:30M. Szwarc2.001111113J. Pilch1.738880WAug 2 · 11:30J. Pilch2.381111113O. Paril1.537640WAug 2 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.8310580J. Pilch1.831211113WAug 1 · 17:08M. Szwarc1.80119351J. Pilch1.9121111113
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