TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12347406
Played Aug 1Finished
Matej Szwarc
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
112911311511––
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMatej Szwarc above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 63 set 4, 5-11
63 points played in total.
H2H Matej Szwarc 2–2 Jakub Pilch Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szwarc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzwarc 1.80 / Pilch 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szwarc)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12347406
Szwarc1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 5 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Pilch1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSzwarc2wins
AwayPilch2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szwarc2Pilch2n = 4split evenly
S2Szwarc1Pilch3n = 4Pilch took 3 of 4
S3Szwarc3Pilch1n = 4Szwarc took 3 of 4
S4Szwarc1Pilch2n = 3Pilch took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSzwarcPilchS − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.543.8−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzwarcPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 35 vs 242 / 48237.1%50.2%13 / 35 vs 242 / 482Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzwarcSzwarc 1.80/Pilch 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Szwarc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 1 · 16:30M. Szwarc—71113682J. Pilch—1181111113
LAug 1 · 12:30M. Szwarc—7770J. Pilch—1111113
WJun 12 · 13:04M. Szwarc—158118143J. Pilch—1311711122
WJun 12 · 11:00M. Szwarc—121011113J. Pilch—1012681
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113LAug 7 · 08:59M. Szwarc2.25125551O. Paril1.57101111113WAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:58M. Szwarc1.67111111113M. Grundel2.10139591WAug 5 · 16:30M. Grundel1.73571791M. Szwarc2.00111115113
J. Pilch10
WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LAug 2 · 17:30M. Kratochvil2.2014411113J. Pilch1.611211621LAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil2.00212411113J. Pilch1.73111011672WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362WAug 2 · 14:30M. Szwarc1.8511790J. Pilch1.851311113WAug 2 · 13:30J. Pilch1.911311113O. Paril1.8011590LAug 2 · 12:30M. Szwarc2.001111113J. Pilch1.738880WAug 2 · 11:30J. Pilch2.381111113O. Paril1.537640WAug 2 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.8310580J. Pilch1.831211113
Upcoming Matches
M. Szwarc
Nothing scheduled
J. Pilch
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