TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361705
Played Aug 5Finished
Matej Grundel
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5117111715911––
Matej Szwarc
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Grundel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatej Grundel above · Matej Szwarc below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 86 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Matej Grundel at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Grundel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Grundel 1734 vs Szwarc 1570
Grundel
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grundel 40% vs Szwarc 0%
Grundel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grundel 30% vs Szwarc 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grundel +1 · Szwarc -5
Szwarc
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grundel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szwarc form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrundel 1.73 / Szwarc 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Grundel)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361705
Grundel1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Szwarc2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrundelSzwarcBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 277 vs 15 / 4652.7%32.6%146 / 277 vs 15 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrundelGrundel 1.73/Szwarc 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Grundel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szwarc won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Grundel10
LSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191LSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113WSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WAug 27 · 17:28M. Grundel1.831111109113L. Prikasky1.8382121192LAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882WAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113WAug 27 · 14:30M. Grundel2.001111113L. Velebil1.737750WAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel1.771011812113L. Prikasky1.95127111072WAug 26 · 16:59M. Grundel1.911011812113P. Libor1.80127111072
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113LAug 7 · 08:59M. Szwarc2.25125551O. Paril1.57101111113WAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:58M. Szwarc1.67111111113M. Grundel2.10139591LAug 5 · 15:30M. Szwarc2.2511791162L. Prikasky1.57911113113
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