TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361698
Played Aug 5Finished
Matej Szwarc
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711911113611
Libor Prikasky
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:55 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Szwarc above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 58.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Matej Szwarc 1–2 Libor Prikasky Matej Szwarc has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Prikasky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szwarc 1575 vs Prikasky 1806
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 231 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szwarc 0% vs Prikasky 60%
Prikasky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szwarc 20% vs Prikasky 40%
Prikasky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szwarc -5 · Prikasky +2
Szwarc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Prikasky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szwarc form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzwarc 2.25 / Prikasky 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Prikasky)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361698
Szwarc2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Prikasky1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 65 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzwarc1wins
AwayPrikasky2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderPrikasky leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szwarc1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
S2Szwarc1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
S3Szwarc1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
S4Szwarc2Prikasky1n = 3Szwarc took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzwarcPrikaskyS − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.343.0+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzwarcPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime15 / 46 vs 196 / 34332.6%57.1%15 / 46 vs 196 / 343Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskySzwarc 2.25/Prikasky 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 5 · 15:30M. Szwarc—11791162L. Prikasky—911113113
WAug 2 · 12:59M. Szwarc—12101111113L. Prikasky—14127632
LAug 2 · 11:00M. Szwarc—911561L. Prikasky—11911113
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113LAug 7 · 08:59M. Szwarc2.25125551O. Paril1.57101111113WAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:58M. Szwarc1.67111111113M. Grundel2.10139591WAug 5 · 16:30M. Grundel1.73571791M. Szwarc2.00111115113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113
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