TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12376924
Played Aug 7Finished
Matej Szwarc
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511511511––
Ondrej Paril
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMatej Szwarc above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Matej Szwarc 1–2 Ondrej Paril Matej Szwarc has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Paril)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzwarc 2.25 / Paril 1.57
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Paril)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12376924
Szwarc2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Paril1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 167 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it76% 133 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzwarc1wins
AwayParil2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderParil leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szwarc1Paril2n = 3Paril took 2 of 3
S2Szwarc3Paril0n = 3Szwarc took 3 of 3
S3Szwarc0Paril3n = 3Paril took 3 of 3
S4Szwarc0Paril3n = 3Paril took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzwarcParilS − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match46.347.7−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzwarcParilBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 51 vs 441 / 85437.3%51.6%19 / 51 vs 441 / 854Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilSzwarc 2.25/Paril 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 7 · 08:00M. Szwarc—1311810113O. Paril—119111292
LAug 2 · 10:00M. Szwarc—91118101O. Paril—11720123
LAug 1 · 14:00M. Szwarc—911991O. Paril—11811113
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113WAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:58M. Szwarc1.67111111113M. Grundel2.10139591WAug 5 · 16:30M. Grundel1.73571791M. Szwarc2.00111115113LAug 5 · 15:30M. Szwarc2.2511791162L. Prikasky1.57911113113
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113
Upcoming Matches
M. Szwarc
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O. Paril
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