TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12366858
Played Aug 5Finished
Matej Szwarc
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113119115119––
Matej Grundel
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMatej Szwarc above · Matej Grundel below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9
80 points played in total.
H2H Matej Szwarc 1–0 Matej Grundel Matej Grundel has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szwarc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szwarc form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzwarc 1.67 / Grundel 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Szwarc)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12366858
Szwarc1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite35% won 6 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Grundel2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 30 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSzwarc1wins
AwayGrundel0wins
Szwarc leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSzwarcGrundelS − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.038.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzwarcGrundelBasisWin rate · lifetime16 / 47 vs 146 / 27834%52.5%16 / 47 vs 146 / 278Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzwarcSzwarc 1.67/Grundel 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Szwarc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szwarc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 5 · 16:30M. Szwarc—111115113M. Grundel—571791
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113LAug 7 · 08:59M. Szwarc2.25125551O. Paril1.57101111113WAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:30M. Grundel1.73571791M. Szwarc2.00111115113LAug 5 · 15:30M. Szwarc2.2511791162L. Prikasky1.57911113113
M. Grundel10
LSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191LSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113WSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WAug 27 · 17:28M. Grundel1.831111109113L. Prikasky1.8382121192LAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882WAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113WAug 27 · 14:30M. Grundel2.001111113L. Velebil1.737750LAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 5 · 16:30M. Grundel1.73571791M. Szwarc2.00111115113
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