TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371334
Played Aug 7Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11139111181210911
Matej Szwarc
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Matej Szwarc below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 105 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 60.8%
105 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 2–0 Matej Szwarc Matej Szwarc has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Paril
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Paril 1754 vs Szwarc 1615
Paril
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 20% vs Szwarc 60%
Szwarc
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 40% vs Szwarc 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril -2 · Szwarc -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szwarc form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 1.53 / Szwarc 2.38
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Paril)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371334
Paril1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 167 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it76% 133 of 174
Szwarc2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeParil2wins
AwaySzwarc0wins
Paril leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricParilSzwarcP − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.543.0+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilSzwarcBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 853 vs 18 / 5051.7%36%441 / 853 vs 18 / 50Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilParil 1.53/Szwarc 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.8%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szwarc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 2 · 10:00O. Paril—11720123M. Szwarc—91118101
WAug 1 · 14:00O. Paril—11811113M. Szwarc—911991
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113LAug 7 · 08:59M. Szwarc2.25125551O. Paril1.57101111113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:58M. Szwarc1.67111111113M. Grundel2.10139591WAug 5 · 16:30M. Grundel1.73571791M. Szwarc2.00111115113LAug 5 · 15:30M. Szwarc2.2511791162L. Prikasky1.57911113113
Upcoming Matches
O. Paril
M. Szwarc
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