TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082122
Played Sep 6Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
71111413111311––
Ondrej Paril
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 81 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 7–3 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Opanasiuk
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1938 vs Paril 1911
Opanasiuk
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 40% vs Paril 60%
Paril
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 50% vs Paril 70%
Paril
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +2 · Paril -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.44 / Paril 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082122
Opanasiuk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 81 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it70% 51 of 73
Paril2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 131 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back26% 38 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk7wins
AwayParil3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%7 of 7
AwayParil100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk7Paril3n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S2Opanasiuk5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S3Opanasiuk5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S4Opanasiuk4Paril1n = 5Opanasiuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpanasiukParilO − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.731.3+4.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukParilBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 252 vs 502 / 96453.2%52.1%134 / 252 vs 502 / 964Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.44/Paril 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 13 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk—11116113O. Paril—341171
WJun 13 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk—1111123O. Paril—46100
WMay 31 · 07:30D. Opanasiuk—1110611113O. Paril—31211362
WMay 25 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk—111111113O. Paril—713891
LMay 24 · 15:00D. Opanasiuk—4118111O. Paril—11911133
LMay 23 · 09:30D. Opanasiuk—10760O. Paril—1211113
WMay 23 · 08:00D. Opanasiuk—1111113O. Paril—7590
WMay 10 · 07:30D. Opanasiuk—14711133O. Paril—12118111
LMay 4 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk—8960O. Paril—1111113
WApr 29 · 19:31D. Opanasiuk—1111113O. Paril—5890
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113LAug 23 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.55141881M. Cabis2.30121111113WAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.80111111123J. Dzida1.915136101WAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101LSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
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