TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481363
Played Aug 24Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211611118911––
Tadeas Zika
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:00 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 66.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 6–9 Tadeas Zika Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Zika
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1974 vs Zika 1793
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 60% vs Zika 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 60% vs Zika 40%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk -1 · Zika +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.44 / Zika 2.63
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481363
Opanasiuk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 81 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it70% 51 of 73
Zika2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 348 of 762
Down 0–1, comes back28% 108 of 387
Down 0–2, comes back9% 18 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk4wins
AwayZika6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk25%1 of 4
AwayZika50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk4Zika6n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Opanasiuk5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S3Opanasiuk9Zika1n = 10Opanasiuk took 9 of 10
S4Opanasiuk5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S5Opanasiuk0Zika5n = 5Zika took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpanasiukZikaO − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.841.7+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 247 vs 763 / 167353.4%45.6%132 / 247 vs 763 / 1673Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.44/Zika 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 7 · 16:00D. Opanasiuk—311117102T. Zika—116811123
WJun 25 · 16:30D. Opanasiuk—101111113T. Zika—129771
LJun 24 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk—13411692T. Zika—1111811113
LJun 22 · 13:00D. Opanasiuk—11911672T. Zika—711611113
LJun 22 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk—111011562T. Zika—812711113
WJun 21 · 15:00D. Opanasiuk—121111153T. Zika—1454131
WJun 21 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk—81111113T. Zika—118961
LJun 11 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk—6611121T. Zika—11117143
LJun 1 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk—711111172T. Zika—114138113
WMay 30 · 09:07D. Opanasiuk—11811113T. Zika—711451
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 23 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.55141881M. Cabis2.30121111113WAug 23 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.80111111123J. Dzida1.915136101WAug 23 · 19:30O. Paril2.256490D. Opanasiuk1.571111113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241
Upcoming Matches
D. Opanasiuk
T. Zika
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