TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071021
Played Sep 4Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111161412114––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 83–84 Tadeas Zika Radovan Polasek has won 83 of their 167 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:19What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
83-84 in 167
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1828 vs Zika 1873
Zika
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Zika 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 50% vs Zika 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -1 · Zika -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.91 / Zika 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zika)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071021
Polasek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 169 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back29% 48 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 84
Zika1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 108 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it70% 76 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek5wins
AwayZika5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek42.9%3 of 7
AwayZika33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek7Zika3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Polasek5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S3Polasek5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S4Polasek4Zika3n = 7Polasek took 4 of 7
S5Polasek1Zika3n = 4Zika took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekZikaP − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.335.9+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 850 vs 785 / 171150.8%45.9%432 / 850 vs 785 / 1711Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaPolasek 1.91/Zika 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 15:00R. Polasek—136741T. Zika—111111113
WAug 26 · 07:30R. Polasek—1111113T. Zika—4970
LAug 25 · 12:30R. Polasek—117711112T. Zika—511115133
WAug 22 · 12:30R. Polasek—91111113T. Zika—117361
LAug 21 · 20:58R. Polasek—9990T. Zika—1111113
WAug 21 · 18:30R. Polasek—1111113T. Zika—4950
WAug 21 · 17:30R. Polasek—611811123T. Zika—116118102
LAug 21 · 16:00R. Polasek—11811862T. Zika—911611113
WAug 19 · 06:00R. Polasek—11711133T. Zika—4115111
LAug 17 · 12:58R. Polasek—111185122T. Zika—291111143
R. Polasek10
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123WSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880WSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.83116118113T. Zika1.8351151142
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