TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071029
Played Sep 4Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115611115811114
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:18 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 83 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 55.6%
83 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 26–29 Tadeas Zika Pavel Wawrosz has won 26 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-29 in 55
Zika
Wrong
gap of 3 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1809 vs Zika 1827
Zika
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 20% vs Zika 40%
Zika
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 20% vs Zika 40%
Zika
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz -3 · Zika -1
Wawrosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.83 / Zika 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zika)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071029
Wawrosz1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Zika1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz3wins
AwayZika7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawroszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZika75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz2Zika8n = 10Zika took 8 of 10
S2Wawrosz6Zika4n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S3Wawrosz4Zika6n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz2Zika7n = 9Zika took 7 of 9
S5Wawrosz2Zika1n = 3Wawrosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszZikaW − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.4−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 397 vs 787 / 171350.6%45.9%201 / 397 vs 787 / 1713Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaWawrosz 1.83/Zika 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz—1311771T. Zika—15711113
WSep 4 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—116118113T. Zika—51151142
LSep 2 · 06:30P. Wawrosz—7680T. Zika—1111113
LAug 26 · 20:58P. Wawrosz—911651T. Zika—11711113
LAug 26 · 19:30P. Wawrosz—912981T. Zika—111011113
WAug 20 · 16:30P. Wawrosz—81212113T. Zika—11101071
LAug 19 · 09:30P. Wawrosz—13118852T. Zika—1181111113
LAug 19 · 07:30P. Wawrosz—661191T. Zika—11115113
LAug 17 · 14:30P. Wawrosz—711591T. Zika—11711113
WAug 17 · 11:00P. Wawrosz—871111133T. Zika—111189112
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241
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