TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071400
Played Sep 4Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111210711––
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 3–5 Pavel Wawrosz Libor Prikasky has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:37What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wawrosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Wawrosz
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1776 vs Wawrosz 1770
Prikasky
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 40% vs Wawrosz 60%
Wawrosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 40% vs Wawrosz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +1 · Wawrosz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wawrosz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 2.00 / Wawrosz 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wawrosz)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071400
Prikasky2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Wawrosz1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 144 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 96 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePrikasky3wins
AwayWawrosz5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderWawrosz leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikasky66.7%2 of 3
AwayWawrosz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky3Wawrosz5n = 8Wawrosz took 5 of 8
S2Prikasky3Wawrosz5n = 8Wawrosz took 5 of 8
S3Prikasky3Wawrosz5n = 8Wawrosz took 5 of 8
S4Prikasky4Wawrosz3n = 7Prikasky took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPrikaskyWawroszP − WBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match37.040.4−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 436 vs 198 / 39256%50.5%244 / 436 vs 198 / 392Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszPrikasky 2.00/Wawrosz 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky—771271P. Wawrosz—111110113
LAug 26 · 16:00L. Prikasky—481161P. Wawrosz—11115113
WAug 12 · 19:30L. Prikasky—811711113P. Wawrosz—11611592
WAug 9 · 11:30L. Prikasky—11129113P. Wawrosz—9101181
LAug 8 · 18:00L. Prikasky—129441P. Wawrosz—101111113
WAug 6 · 19:30L. Prikasky—111011113P. Wawrosz—912761
LJun 1 · 07:30L. Prikasky—91191182P. Wawrosz—118118113
LMay 31 · 15:00L. Prikasky—12380P. Wawrosz—1411113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113LSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113
Upcoming Matches
L. Prikasky
Nothing scheduled
P. Wawrosz
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