TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071666
Played Sep 4Finished
Daniel Tomica
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711811611––
Libor Prikasky
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tomica above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 68.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tomica 1–4 Libor Prikasky Daniel Tomica has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Prikasky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Prikasky
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tomica 1719 vs Prikasky 1781
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tomica 60% vs Prikasky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tomica 50% vs Prikasky 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tomica +1 · Prikasky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Prikasky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTomica 2.75 / Prikasky 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Prikasky)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071666
Tomica2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Prikasky1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite69% won 89 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it84% 64 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeTomica1wins
AwayPrikasky4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPrikasky leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTomican = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPrikasky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tomica1Prikasky4n = 5Prikasky took 4 of 5
S2Tomica2Prikasky3n = 5Prikasky took 3 of 5
S3Tomica1Prikasky4n = 5Prikasky took 4 of 5
S4Tomica2Prikasky1n = 3Tomica took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricTomicaPrikaskyT − PBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match30.237.2−7.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomicaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 182 vs 246 / 43947.8%56%87 / 182 vs 246 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyTomica 2.75/Prikasky 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 27 · 14:00D. Tomica—118821L. Prikasky—91111113
LAug 13 · 16:58D. Tomica—7770L. Prikasky—1111113
LAug 13 · 14:30D. Tomica—81251122L. Prikasky—1110116113
LJun 7 · 15:30D. Tomica—5880L. Prikasky—1111113
WMay 24 · 12:30D. Tomica—91111113L. Prikasky—115941
D. Tomica10
WSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151WSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WAug 27 · 17:01L. Velebil1.60111131132D. Tomica2.15671113113WAug 27 · 16:30D. Tomica2.2561111113L. Velebil1.57115931LAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113LAug 27 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.4491111113D. Tomica2.63118821WAug 22 · 12:58D. Tomica1.8319117113M. Vavrecka1.831751191WAug 22 · 12:00D. Tomica2.2011811173M. Vavrecka1.613119151LAug 22 · 11:30O. Paril1.571111113D. Tomica2.258490
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113WAug 27 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.4491111113D. Tomica2.63118821
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