TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071836
Played Sep 4Finished
Daniel Tomica
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811118114––
Matyas Navedla
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tomica to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tomica above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Tomica at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tomica 8–5 Matyas Navedla Matyas Navedla has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tomica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Tomica
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tomica 1721 vs Navedla 1668
Tomica
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tomica 40% vs Navedla 0%
Tomica
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tomica 40% vs Navedla 20%
Tomica
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tomica -1 · Navedla -5
Navedla
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Tomica) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTomica 1.73 / Navedla 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Tomica)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071836
Tomica1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Navedla2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 140 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back26% 42 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTomica6wins
AwayNavedla4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTomica leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTomica83.3%5 of 6
AwayNavedla75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tomica6Navedla4n = 10Tomica took 6 of 10
S2Tomica2Navedla8n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10
S3Tomica6Navedla4n = 10Tomica took 6 of 10
S4Tomica6Navedla3n = 9Tomica took 6 of 9
S5Tomica3Navedla2n = 5Tomica took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTomicaNavedlaT − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.540.9−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomicaNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 184 vs 356 / 74747.8%47.7%88 / 184 vs 356 / 747Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomicaTomica 1.73/Navedla 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Tomica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tomica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica—13118113M. Navedla—1131151
WSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica—11811113M. Navedla—711841
LJul 11 · 13:03D. Tomica—11781162M. Navedla—811115113
WJul 11 · 11:00D. Tomica—691112133M. Navedla—1111810112
WJun 7 · 17:00D. Tomica—111117123M. Navedla—911911102
WJun 7 · 16:00D. Tomica—117164113M. Navedla—911141142
LJun 1 · 16:00D. Tomica—31121152M. Navedla—118113113
LMay 26 · 17:00D. Tomica—671151M. Navedla—11119113
WMay 26 · 15:00D. Tomica—13811113M. Navedla—1111841
LMay 17 · 15:30D. Tomica—8590M. Navedla—1111113
D. Tomica10
WSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WAug 27 · 17:01L. Velebil1.60111131132D. Tomica2.15671113113WAug 27 · 16:30D. Tomica2.2561111113L. Velebil1.57115931LAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113LAug 27 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.4491111113D. Tomica2.63118821WAug 22 · 12:58D. Tomica1.8319117113M. Vavrecka1.831751191WAug 22 · 12:00D. Tomica2.2011811173M. Vavrecka1.613119151LAug 22 · 11:30O. Paril1.571111113D. Tomica2.258490
M. Navedla10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142LSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192LSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133LSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111LSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
Upcoming Matches
D. Tomica
Nothing scheduled
M. Navedla
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