Daniel Tomica vs Michal Vavrecka 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12475545

Played Aug 22Finished

Daniel Tomica

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1917115711119––

Michal Vavrecka

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingDaniel Tomica above · Michal Vavrecka below

Set 1 · 19-17

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 90 set 4, 11-9

90 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Tomica 1–4 Michal Vavrecka Daniel Tomica has won 1 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 1–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vavrecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTomica 1.83 / Vavrecka 1.83

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Vavrecka)+6.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12475545

Tomica1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Vavrecka1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeTomica1wins

AwayVavrecka4wins

1 of 5 to a deciderVavrecka leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTomican = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayVavrecka100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Tomica1Vavrecka4n = 5Vavrecka took 4 of 5

S2Tomica0Vavrecka5n = 5Vavrecka took 5 of 5

S3Tomica1Vavrecka4n = 5Vavrecka took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away360%

These 5 meetings

MetricTomicaVavreckaT − VBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match32.439.8−7.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTomicaVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 179 vs 1009 / 200948%50.2%86 / 179 vs 1009 / 2009Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vavrecka

Tomica 1.83/Vavrecka 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56%

Vavrecka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Tomica won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LJun 7 · 14:00D. Tomica—1191161M. Vavrecka—13115113

LJun 1 · 14:30D. Tomica—14740M. Vavrecka—1611113

LMay 26 · 14:30D. Tomica—7570M. Vavrecka—1111113

WMay 21 · 15:00D. Tomica—119811173M. Vavrecka—711118152

LJul 6 · 14:30D. Tomica—85120M. Vavrecka—1111143

D. Tomica10

WSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151 LSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113 WSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841 LSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142 WAug 27 · 17:01L. Velebil1.60111131132D. Tomica2.15671113113 WAug 27 · 16:30D. Tomica2.2561111113L. Velebil1.57115931 LAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113 LAug 27 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.4491111113D. Tomica2.63118821 WAug 22 · 12:00D. Tomica2.2011811173M. Vavrecka1.613119151 LAug 22 · 11:30O. Paril1.571111113D. Tomica2.258490

M. Vavrecka10

WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113 LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113 LSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113 WSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113 WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050 WSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142 WSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113 LSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113 WAug 31 · 09:00M. Vavrecka1.8317911113T. Dousek1.831511741 LAug 22 · 12:00D. Tomica2.2011811173M. Vavrecka1.613119151

Upcoming Matches

D. Tomica

Nothing scheduled

M. Vavrecka

Sep 7 · 18:00M. Vavrecka2.20O. Paril1.61—Sep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25D. Opanasiuk1.57—Sep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00T. Dousek1.73—

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