TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077463
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711112811511
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 25–31 Pavel Wawrosz Michal Vavrecka has won 25 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-31 in 56
Wawrosz
Correct
gap of 6 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1830 vs Wawrosz 1824
Vavrecka
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 60% vs Wawrosz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 50% vs Wawrosz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +1 · Wawrosz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.73 / Wawrosz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vavrecka)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077463
Vavrecka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 176 of 325
Up 2–0, closes it88% 72 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it75% 125 of 167
Wawrosz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 54 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka6wins
AwayWawrosz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka62.5%5 of 8
AwayWawroszn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka8Wawrosz2n = 10Vavrecka took 8 of 10
S2Vavrecka6Wawrosz4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Vavrecka7Wawrosz3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka3Wawrosz3n = 6split evenly
S5Vavrecka1Wawrosz3n = 4Wawrosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaWawroszV − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.5+2.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime1011 / 2009 vs 204 / 40150.3%50.9%1011 / 2009 vs 204 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.73/Wawrosz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka—117761P. Wawrosz—91111113
WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka—1612113P. Wawrosz—141050
LSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka—12711852P. Wawrosz—1011211113
LAug 25 · 08:58M. Vavrecka—41112842P. Wawrosz—1181011113
WAug 25 · 08:30M. Vavrecka—11311113P. Wawrosz—911681
WAug 23 · 16:00M. Vavrecka—1112113P. Wawrosz—41090
LAug 19 · 06:30M. Vavrecka—13591192P. Wawrosz—1111118113
WAug 17 · 13:30M. Vavrecka—1111113P. Wawrosz—6890
WAug 17 · 10:30M. Vavrecka—6111011153P. Wawrosz—115128132
WAug 15 · 08:00M. Vavrecka—1111113P. Wawrosz—7460
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050WSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142WSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113WAug 31 · 09:00M. Vavrecka1.8317911113T. Dousek1.831511741LAug 31 · 08:30M. Vavrecka2.001251181R. Polasek1.7314117113LAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka2.106111051M. Cabis1.6711912113
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113LSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113
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