TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047720
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111191012511––
Michal Cabis
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Michal Cabis at 55.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 20–18 Michal Cabis Michal Cabis has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cabis
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-18 in 38
Vavrecka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1809 vs Cabis 1871
Cabis
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 60% vs Cabis 20%
Vavrecka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 40% vs Cabis 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +2 · Cabis -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cabis) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.10 / Cabis 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Cabis)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047720
Vavrecka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 175 of 389
Down 0–1, comes back27% 57 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 102
Cabis1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 142 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it76% 96 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka4wins
AwayCabis6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCabis leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka50%3 of 6
AwayCabis75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Cabis4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka6Cabis4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Vavrecka3Cabis7n = 10Cabis took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka3Cabis5n = 8Cabis took 5 of 8
S5Vavrecka1Cabis2n = 3Cabis took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaCabisV − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.5−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime1010 / 2013 vs 365 / 69650.2%52.4%1010 / 2013 vs 365 / 696Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisVavrecka 2.10/Cabis 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cabis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka—6111051M. Cabis—11912113
WAug 30 · 08:58M. Vavrecka—11124113M. Cabis—9101191
WAug 30 · 06:00M. Vavrecka—51111123M. Cabis—1168101
LAug 29 · 10:30M. Vavrecka—111161092M. Cabis—841112113
LAug 29 · 06:00M. Vavrecka—117991M. Cabis—91111113
WAug 28 · 10:30M. Vavrecka—117118113M. Cabis—71161192
LAug 28 · 06:00M. Vavrecka—9660M. Cabis—1111113
LAug 24 · 13:29M. Vavrecka—1261051M. Cabis—101112113
LAug 24 · 10:00M. Vavrecka—61191182M. Cabis—118117113
WAug 13 · 11:30M. Vavrecka—1111113M. Cabis—9570
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050WSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113
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