TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076348
Played Sep 5Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611116911116
Michal Cabis
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 6–6 Michal Cabis Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1964 vs Cabis 1871
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 80% vs Cabis 60%
Biolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 60% vs Cabis 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +1 · Cabis +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.61 / Cabis 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Biolek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076348
Biolek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 106 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it72% 78 of 108
Cabis2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 90 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back33% 33 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek5wins
AwayCabis5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek80%4 of 5
AwayCabis80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek5Cabis5n = 10split evenly
S2Biolek7Cabis3n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S3Biolek5Cabis5n = 10split evenly
S4Biolek3Cabis3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekCabisB − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.434.2+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 384 vs 365 / 69655.5%52.4%213 / 384 vs 365 / 696Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.61/Cabis 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 15:00M. Biolek—99111142M. Cabis—111198113
WAug 9 · 19:30M. Biolek—11127133M. Cabis—51011111
LJul 9 · 19:30M. Biolek—7850M. Cabis—1111113
WJul 7 · 14:00M. Biolek—1113133M. Cabis—711110
WJul 5 · 14:00M. Biolek—1111143M. Cabis—55120
LJul 4 · 18:00M. Biolek—7117101M. Cabis—11911123
WJul 2 · 15:30M. Biolek—61111113M. Cabis—115771
LJul 1 · 14:00M. Biolek—8111291M. Cabis—11914113
LJun 20 · 06:30M. Biolek—1261181M. Cabis—101113113
WJun 16 · 19:00M. Biolek—1111113M. Cabis—2240
M. Biolek10
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113LSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113WSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113WAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka2.106111051M. Cabis1.6711912113
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