TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047982
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Cabis
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511711––––
Radomir Revay
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Cabis at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cabis 11–14 Radomir Revay Michal Cabis has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:05What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Revay
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Revay
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabis 1881 vs Revay 1811
Cabis
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabis 80% vs Revay 20%
Cabis
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabis 50% vs Revay 30%
Cabis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabis +4 · Revay -1
Cabis
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cabis)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 1.83 / Revay 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cabis)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047982
Cabis1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Revay1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabis4wins
AwayRevay6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRevay leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabis60%3 of 5
AwayRevay80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S2Cabis3Revay7n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S3Cabis3Revay7n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S4Cabis4Revay0n = 4Cabis took 4 of 4
S5Cabis1Revay2n = 3Revay took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabisRevayC − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.335.0−2.7per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 697 vs 282 / 54452.2%51.8%364 / 697 vs 282 / 544Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisCabis 1.83/Revay 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 08:00M. Cabis—1111113R. Revay—7560
LAug 28 · 08:00M. Cabis—8960R. Revay—1111113
WAug 14 · 07:30M. Cabis—61112123R. Revay—11410101
LJul 30 · 11:00M. Cabis—13641252R. Revay—11111110113
WJul 24 · 06:00M. Cabis—1211113R. Revay—10680
LJul 13 · 08:00M. Cabis—6980R. Revay—1111113
LJul 1 · 21:30M. Cabis—5790R. Revay—1111113
WJul 1 · 19:00M. Cabis—115915113R. Revay—911111362
LJun 18 · 08:00M. Cabis—11871152R. Revay—111113113
LMay 27 · 09:30M. Cabis—7620R. Revay—1111113
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113WAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka2.106111051M. Cabis1.6711912113
R. Revay10
LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120LSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590LSep 3 · 07:30R. Revay1.91126111172T. Zika1.80141156113LSep 3 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311127113R. Revay1.836101151WSep 2 · 08:58P. Wawrosz1.91711121282R. Revay1.801181014113WSep 2 · 08:30R. Revay1.83461111113P. Wawrosz1.8311115782
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