TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063167
Played Sep 3Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210711115––
Radomir Revay
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 60.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 66–52 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 52 of their 118 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Revay
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-52 in 118
Polasek
Correct
gap of 14 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1845 vs Revay 1789
Polasek
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Revay 60%
Revay
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 60% vs Revay 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -1 · Revay +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.83 / Revay 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polasek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063167
Polasek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Revay1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek5wins
AwayRevay5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek57.1%4 of 7
AwayRevay66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek7Revay3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Polasek4Revay6n = 10Revay took 6 of 10
S3Polasek2Revay8n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S4Polasek6Revay2n = 8Polasek took 6 of 8
S5Polasek1Revay2n = 3Revay took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekRevayP − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.8+0.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 856 vs 291 / 56350.9%51.7%436 / 856 vs 291 / 563Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.83/Revay 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:30R. Polasek—11127113R. Revay—6101151
WSep 2 · 06:00R. Polasek—11811113R. Revay—711871
WAug 29 · 06:30R. Polasek—11128113R. Revay—8101181
WAug 18 · 08:00R. Polasek—159411113R. Revay—131111742
LAug 14 · 13:30R. Polasek—131050R. Revay—1512113
LAug 14 · 11:30R. Polasek—1271061R. Revay—101112113
WJul 30 · 13:29R. Polasek—51111113R. Revay—117261
LJul 30 · 12:30R. Polasek—11114882R. Revay—881111113
LJul 16 · 10:30R. Polasek—111091182R. Revay—712119113
LJul 15 · 08:00R. Polasek—9890R. Revay—1111113
R. Polasek10
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123WSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880WSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
R. Revay10
LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120LSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590LSep 3 · 07:30R. Revay1.91126111172T. Zika1.80141156113WSep 2 · 08:58P. Wawrosz1.91711121282R. Revay1.801181014113WSep 2 · 08:30R. Revay1.83461111113P. Wawrosz1.8311115782LSep 2 · 07:00R. Revay2.0011812101T. Zika1.7351114123
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