TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058936
Played Sep 2Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411611115117118
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 85 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Radomir Revay at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 17–18 Pavel Wawrosz Radomir Revay has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:07What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wawrosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Revay 1779 vs Wawrosz 1759
Revay
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 20% vs Wawrosz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 40% vs Wawrosz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay -2 · Wawrosz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Revay)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 1.83 / Wawrosz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Revay)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058936
Revay1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Wawrosz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay4wins
AwayWawrosz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevay66.7%2 of 3
AwayWawrosz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay3Wawrosz7n = 10Wawrosz took 7 of 10
S2Revay6Wawrosz4n = 10Revay took 6 of 10
S3Revay5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Revay3Wawrosz6n = 9Wawrosz took 6 of 9
S5Revay2Wawrosz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayWawroszR − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.539.0−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 553 vs 194 / 38351.7%50.7%286 / 553 vs 194 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayRevay 1.83/Wawrosz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 21:30R. Revay—5115101P. Wawrosz—11511123
LAug 12 · 20:30R. Revay—111551P. Wawrosz—11711113
LAug 11 · 11:00R. Revay—751191P. Wawrosz—11115113
WAug 6 · 18:30R. Revay—101111113P. Wawrosz—124151
LAug 6 · 14:00R. Revay—811111172P. Wawrosz—119813113
WJul 24 · 09:04R. Revay—121169113P. Wawrosz—106111192
WJul 24 · 08:00R. Revay—11611113P. Wawrosz—711771
LJul 23 · 06:00R. Revay—11441182P. Wawrosz—611119113
WJul 14 · 08:58R. Revay—511116113P. Wawrosz—11531192
LJul 14 · 07:00R. Revay—5860P. Wawrosz—1111113
R. Revay10
LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120LSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590LSep 3 · 07:30R. Revay1.91126111172T. Zika1.80141156113LSep 3 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311127113R. Revay1.836101151WSep 2 · 08:58P. Wawrosz1.91711121282R. Revay1.801181014113LSep 2 · 07:00R. Revay2.0011812101T. Zika1.7351114123
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113LSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113LSep 2 · 08:58P. Wawrosz1.91711121282R. Revay1.801181014113
Upcoming Matches
R. Revay
Nothing scheduled
P. Wawrosz
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